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NIR Nordirland - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Cliftonville vs Crusaders

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.68 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg61%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg61% selection probability
Projected score2–1CliftonvilleCrusaders
Expected goals3.68Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über71% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
61% / 21% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Crusaders win (18.1%)Doppelte Chance1X81.9%1.22
Über 71% · Unter 29%Goals 2.5Über71%1.41
Ja 66% · Nein 34%Beide Teams treffenJa66%1.52
3.68 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapCliftonville winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cliftonville win61%1.641.4861.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp
Crusaders win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cliftonville2.41

Heim share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals3.68Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 71% · Unter 29%

Crusaders1.27

Auswärts share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nein 34%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Cliftonville

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Crusaders

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.41
Expected goals
1.27
CliftonvilleCrusaders
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cliftonville signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crusaders signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Cliftonville vs Crusaders FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cliftonville Gewinn 61%,Unentschieden 21%,Crusaders Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Über 2.5 71% · Current selection Über