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NIR Irlanda do Norte - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Cliftonville vs Crusaders

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.68 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa61%
Empate21%
Vitória visitante18%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa61% selection probability
Projected score2–1CliftonvilleCrusaders
Expected goals3.68Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima71% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
61% / 21% / 18%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Crusaders win (18.1%)Dupla Chance1X81.9%1.22
Acima 71% · Abaixo 29%Goals 2.5Acima71%1.41
Sim 66% · Não 34%Ambas as equipes marcamSim66%1.52
3.68 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapCliftonville winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cliftonville win61%1.641.4861.1%-0.1 pp
Empate21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp
Crusaders win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cliftonville2.41

Mandante share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals3.68Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 71% · Abaixo 29%

Crusaders1.27

Visitante share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 66% · Não 34%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Cliftonville

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Crusaders

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.41
Expected goals
1.27
CliftonvilleCrusaders
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cliftonville signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crusaders signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Cliftonville vs Crusaders FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cliftonville ganhou 61%,Empate 21%,Crusaders ganhou 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Acima 2.5 71% · Current selection Acima