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NIR Severné Írsko - Premier · Round 1 ·

Cliftonville vs Crusaders

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.68 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich61%
Remíza21%
Výhra hostí18%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich61% selection probability
Projected score2–1CliftonvilleCrusaders
Expected goals3.68Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac71% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
61% / 21% / 18%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Crusaders win (18.1%)Dvojitá šanca1X81.9%1.22
Viac 71% · Menej 29%Goals 2.5Viac71%1.41
Áno 66% · Nie 34%Oba tímy skórujúÁno66%1.52
3.68 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.3 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapCliftonville winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cliftonville win61%1.641.4861.1%-0.1 pp
Remíza21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp
Crusaders win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cliftonville2.41

Domáci share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals3.68Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 71% · Menej 29%

Crusaders1.27

Hostia share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 66% · Nie 34%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Cliftonville

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Crusaders

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalHostia unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Výhra probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.41
Expected goals
1.27
CliftonvilleCrusaders
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cliftonville signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crusaders signalHostia unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Cliftonville vs Crusaders FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cliftonville výhra 61%,Remíza 21%,Crusaders výhra 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Viac 2.5 71% · Current selection Viac