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NIR Irlanda del Nord - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Cliftonville vs Crusaders

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.68 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa61%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite18%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa61% selection probability
Projected score2–1CliftonvilleCrusaders
Expected goals3.68Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
61% / 21% / 18%Esito partitaVittoria casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Crusaders win (18.1%)Doppia Chance1X81.9%1.22
Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%Goals 2.5Sopra71%1.41
Sì 66% · No 34%Entrambe le squadre segnano66%1.52
3.68 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapCliftonville winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cliftonville win61%1.641.4861.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp
Crusaders win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cliftonville2.41

Casa share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals3.68Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%

Crusaders1.27

Trasferta share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 66% · No 34%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Cliftonville

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Crusaders

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vinta probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.41
Expected goals
1.27
CliftonvilleCrusaders
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cliftonville signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crusaders signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Cliftonville vs Crusaders FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cliftonville vinta 61%,Pareggio 21%,Crusaders vinta 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Sopra 2.5 71% · Current selection Sopra