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CHN China Super League · Final ·

Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Prediction review

Local form
Final score4–0Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local65%
Empate20%
Victoria visitante16%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 65% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Beijing GuoanShenzhen Xinpengcheng
Expected goals3.59Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de70% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
65% / 20% / 16%Resultado del partidoVictoria local65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win (15.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X84.3%1.19
Más de 70% · Menos de 30%Goals 2.5Más de70%1.43
Sí 64% · No 36%Ambos equipos marcan64%1.56
3.59 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapBeijing Guoan winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Beijing Guoan win65%1.541.4564.6%+0.4 pp
Empate20%5.004.7519.7%+0.3 pp
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win16%6.256.0015.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Beijing Guoan2.40

Local share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals3.59Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 70% · Menos de 30%

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1.19

Visitante share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Beijing Guoan

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Ganado probability excluding draw
16%
11
Points from supplied form
6
2.40
Expected goals
1.19
Beijing GuoanShenzhen Xinpengcheng
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Beijing Guoan signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shenzhen Xinpengcheng signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Beijing Guoan ganada 65%,Empate 20%,Shenzhen Xinpengcheng ganada 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Más de 2.5 70% · Current selection Más de