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CHN China Super League · Final ·

Beijing Guoan vs Σεντζέν Ξινπενγκτσένγκ

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score4–0Πρόβλεψη 2–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου65%
Ισοπαλία20%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου16%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 65% selection probability
Prediction Επιτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Beijing GuoanΣεντζέν Ξινπενγκτσένγκ
Expected goals3.59Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω70% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
65% / 20% / 16%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σεντζέν Ξινπενγκτσένγκ win (15.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X84.3%1.19
Άνω 70% · Κάτω 30%Goals 2.5Άνω70%1.43
Ναι 64% · Όχι 36%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι64%1.56
3.59 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapBeijing Guoan winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Beijing Guoan win65%1.541.4564.6%+0.4 pp
Ισοπαλία20%5.004.7519.7%+0.3 pp
Σεντζέν Ξινπενγκτσένγκ win16%6.256.0015.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Beijing Guoan2.40

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals3.59Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 70% · Κάτω 30%

Σεντζέν Ξινπενγκτσένγκ1.19

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 64% · Όχι 36%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Beijing Guoan

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σεντζέν Ξινπενγκτσένγκ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
16%
11
Points from supplied form
6
2.40
Expected goals
1.19
Beijing GuoanΣεντζέν Ξινπενγκτσένγκ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Beijing Guoan signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σεντζέν Ξινπενγκτσένγκ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Beijing Guoan vs Σεντζέν Ξινπενγκτσένγκ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Beijing Guoan νίκη 65%,Ισοπαλία 20%,Σεντζέν Ξινπενγκτσένγκ νίκη 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Άνω 2.5 70% · Current selection Άνω