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CHN China Super League · Final ·

Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score4–0Tahmin 2–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır65%
Beraberlik20%
Deplasman kazanır16%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 65% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Beijing GuoanShenzhen Xinpengcheng
Expected goals3.59Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst70% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
65% / 20% / 16%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win (15.7%)Çifte Şans1X84.3%1.19
Üst 70% · Alt 30%Goals 2.5Üst70%1.43
Evet 64% · Hayır 36%Karşılıklı gol varEvet64%1.56
3.59 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.6 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapBeijing Guoan winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Beijing Guoan win65%1.541.4564.6%+0.4 pp
Beraberlik20%5.004.7519.7%+0.3 pp
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win16%6.256.0015.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Beijing Guoan2.40

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals3.59Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 70% · Alt 30%

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1.19

Deplasman share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 64% · Hayır 36%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Beijing Guoan

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
16%
11
Points from supplied form
6
2.40
Expected goals
1.19
Beijing GuoanShenzhen Xinpengcheng
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Beijing Guoan signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shenzhen Xinpengcheng signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Beijing Guoan kazanç 65%,Beraberlik 20%,Shenzhen Xinpengcheng kazanç 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · 2.5 Üst 70% · Current selection Üst