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CHN China Super League · Final ·

Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score4–0Előrejelzés 2–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem65%
Döntetlen20%
Vendég győzelem16%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 65% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Beijing GuoanShenzhen Xinpengcheng
Expected goals3.59Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett70% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
65% / 20% / 16%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win (15.7%)Dupla esély1X84.3%1.19
Felett 70% · Alatt 30%Goals 2.5Felett70%1.43
Igen 64% · Nem 36%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen64%1.56
3.59 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.6 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapBeijing Guoan winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Beijing Guoan win65%1.541.4564.6%+0.4 pp
Döntetlen20%5.004.7519.7%+0.3 pp
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win16%6.256.0015.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Beijing Guoan2.40

Hazai share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals3.59Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 70% · Alatt 30%

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1.19

Vendég share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 64% · Nem 36%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Beijing Guoan

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Nyert probability excluding draw
16%
11
Points from supplied form
6
2.40
Expected goals
1.19
Beijing GuoanShenzhen Xinpengcheng
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Beijing Guoan signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shenzhen Xinpengcheng signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Beijing Guoan nyer 65%,Döntetlen 20%,Shenzhen Xinpengcheng nyer 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · 2.5 felett 70% · Current selection Felett