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FRA Γαλλία - Ligue 1 · Αγώνας ·

Μονακό vs Μαρσέιγ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.66 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου38%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου38% selection probability
Projected score2–2ΜονακόΜαρσέιγ
Expected goals3.66Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω71% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
38% / 26% / 37%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1274.4%1.34
Άνω 71% · Κάτω 29%Goals 2.5Άνω71%1.41
Ναι 71% · Όχι 29%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι71%1.41
3.66 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μονακό win38%2.63
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Μαρσέιγ win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μονακό1.85

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals3.66Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 71% · Κάτω 29%

Μαρσέιγ1.81

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 71% · Όχι 29%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μονακό

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μαρσέιγ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.85
Expected goals
1.81
ΜονακόΜαρσέιγ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μονακό signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μαρσέιγ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Μονακό vs Μαρσέιγ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μονακό νίκη 38%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Μαρσέιγ νίκη 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.66 · Άνω 2.5 71% · Current selection Άνω