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FRA Франция - Лига 1 · Мач ·

Монако vs Марсилия

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.66 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина38%
Равен26%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина38% selection probability
Projected score2–2МонакоМарсилия
Expected goals3.66Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над71% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
38% / 26% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Двоен шанс1274.4%1.34
Над 71% · Под 29%Goals 2.5Над71%1.41
Да 71% · Не 29%И двата отбора да отбележатДа71%1.41
3.66 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Монако win38%2.63
Равен26%3.85
Марсилия win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Монако1.85

Домакин share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals3.66Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 71% · Под 29%

Марсилия1.81

Гост share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 71% · Не 29%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Монако

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Марсилия

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.85
Expected goals
1.81
МонакоМарсилия
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Монако signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Марсилия signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Монако vs Марсилия FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Монако печеливш 38%,Равен 26%,Марсилия печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.66 · Над 2.5 71% · Current selection Над