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モナコ vs マルセイユ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–23.66 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利37%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score2–2モナコマルセイユ
Expected goals3.66始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー71% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 26% / 37%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)ダブルチャンス1274.4%1.34
オーバー 71% · アンダー 29%Goals 2.5オーバー71%1.41
はい 71% · いいえ 29%両チーム得点はい71%1.41
3.66 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
モナコ win38%2.63
引き分け26%3.85
マルセイユ win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

モナコ1.85

ホーム share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals3.66始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 71% · アンダー 29%

マルセイユ1.81

アウェイ share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 71% · いいえ 29%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

モナコ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

マルセイユ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.85
Expected goals
1.81
モナコマルセイユ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01モナコ signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02マルセイユ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

モナコ vs マルセイユ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

モナコ 勝ち 38%,引き分け 26%,マルセイユ 勝ち 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.66 · オーバー 2.5 71% · Current selection オーバー