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POL Polen - 4. Liga · Spiel ·

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdanski

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score0–22.35 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg28%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg48%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg48% selection probability
Projected score0–2Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdanski
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
28% / 24% / 48%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Doppelte Chance1276%1.32
Über 42% · Unter 58%Goals 2.5Unter58%1.72
Ja 25% · Nein 75%Beide Teams treffenNein75%1.33
2.35 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis0–2
10.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapStolem Gniewino winDifference-3.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stolem Gniewino win28%3.572.8831.2%-3.2 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
KP Starogard Gdanski win48%2.082.0044.9%+3.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stolem Gniewino0.34

Heim share of expected goals 14.5%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 42% · Unter 58%

KP Starogard Gdanski2.01

Auswärts share of expected goals 85.5%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitJa 25% · Nein 75%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Stolem Gniewino

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

KP Starogard Gdanski

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
48%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.34
Expected goals
2.01
Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdanski
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stolem Gniewino signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KP Starogard Gdanski signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdanski FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 0–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stolem Gniewino Gewinn 28%,Unentschieden 24%,KP Starogard Gdanski Gewinn 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Über 2.5 42% · Current selection Unter