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POL Polonia - Liga IV · Partido ·

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdanski

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score0–22.36 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local28%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante48%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante48% selection probability
Projected score0–2Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdanski
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
28% / 24% / 48%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Doble Oportunidad1276%1.32
Más de 42% · Menos de 58%Goals 2.5Menos de58%1.72
Sí 25% · No 75%Ambos equipos marcanNo75%1.33
2.36 total expected goalsMarcador exacto0–2
10.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapStolem Gniewino winDifference-3.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stolem Gniewino win28%3.572.8831.2%-3.2 pp
Empate24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
KP Starogard Gdanski win48%2.082.0044.9%+3.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stolem Gniewino0.34

Local share of expected goals 14.4%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 42% · Menos de 58%

KP Starogard Gdanski2.02

Visitante share of expected goals 85.6%

Projected score0–2BTTS split 25% · No 75%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Stolem Gniewino

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

KP Starogard Gdanski

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Ganado probability excluding draw
48%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.34
Expected goals
2.02
Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdanski
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stolem Gniewino signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KP Starogard Gdanski signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdanski FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 0–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stolem Gniewino ganada 28%,Empate 24%,KP Starogard Gdanski ganada 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Más de 2.5 42% · Current selection Menos de