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POL Polonia - Liga IV · Partido ·

Ursus Warsaw vs MKS Piaseczno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.55 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local45%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante32%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local45% selection probability
Projected score2–2Ursus WarsawMKS Piaseczno
Expected goals3.55Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de69% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
45% / 22% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Doble Oportunidad1277.6%1.29
Más de 69% · Menos de 31%Goals 2.5Más de69%1.45
Sí 69% · No 31%Ambos equipos marcan69%1.45
3.55 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
10.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ursus Warsaw win45%2.222.0044.9%
Empate22%4.554.0022.4%
MKS Piaseczno win32%3.132.7532.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ursus Warsaw1.94

Local share of expected goals 54.6%

Total expected goals3.55Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 69% · Menos de 31%

MKS Piaseczno1.61

Visitante share of expected goals 45.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 69% · No 31%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Ursus Warsaw

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

MKS Piaseczno

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
1.61
Ursus WarsawMKS Piaseczno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ursus Warsaw signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MKS Piaseczno signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ursus Warsaw vs MKS Piaseczno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ursus Warsaw ganada 45%,Empate 22%,MKS Piaseczno ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · Más de 2.5 69% · Current selection Más de