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POL Polen - 4. Liga · Spiel ·

Ursus Warschau vs MKS Piaseczno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.55 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg45%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg32%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg45% selection probability
Projected score2–2Ursus WarschauMKS Piaseczno
Expected goals3.55Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über69% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
45% / 22% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Doppelte Chance1277.6%1.29
Über 69% · Unter 31%Goals 2.5Über69%1.45
Ja 69% · Nein 31%Beide Teams treffenJa69%1.45
3.55 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ursus Warschau win45%2.222.0044.9%
Unentschieden22%4.554.0022.4%
MKS Piaseczno win32%3.132.7532.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ursus Warschau1.94

Heim share of expected goals 54.6%

Total expected goals3.55Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 69% · Unter 31%

MKS Piaseczno1.61

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 69% · Nein 31%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ursus Warschau

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

MKS Piaseczno

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
1.61
Ursus WarschauMKS Piaseczno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ursus Warschau signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MKS Piaseczno signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ursus Warschau vs MKS Piaseczno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ursus Warschau Gewinn 45%,Unentschieden 22%,MKS Piaseczno Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · Über 2.5 69% · Current selection Über