MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
POL Polen - 4. Liga · Spiel ·

Tłuchovia Tłuchowo vs Pogon Mogilno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.53 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg32%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Tłuchovia TłuchowoPogon Mogilno
Expected goals3.53Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über68% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 25% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doppelte Chance1275.3%1.33
Über 68% · Unter 32%Goals 2.5Über68%1.47
Ja 69% · Nein 31%Beide Teams treffenJa69%1.45
3.53 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.6 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tłuchovia Tłuchowo win43%2.332.1042.9%
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025%
Pogon Mogilno win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tłuchovia Tłuchowo1.92

Heim share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals3.53Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 68% · Unter 32%

Pogon Mogilno1.61

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 69% · Nein 31%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Tłuchovia Tłuchowo

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Pogon Mogilno

0.50pts / match
Gespielt2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punkte1

SignalAuswärts failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.92
Expected goals
1.61
Tłuchovia TłuchowoPogon Mogilno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tłuchovia Tłuchowo signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Mogilno signalAuswärts failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tłuchovia Tłuchowo vs Pogon Mogilno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tłuchovia Tłuchowo Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 25%,Pogon Mogilno Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Über 2.5 68% · Current selection Über