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POL Polonia - Liga IV · Partita ·

Tluchowia Tluchowo vs Pogon Mogilno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.53 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa43%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite32%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Tluchowia TluchowoPogon Mogilno
Expected goals3.53Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra68% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
43% / 25% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doppia Chance1275.3%1.33
Sopra 68% · Sotto 32%Goals 2.5Sopra68%1.47
Sì 69% · No 31%Entrambe le squadre segnano69%1.45
3.53 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tluchowia Tluchowo win43%2.332.1042.9%
Pareggio25%4.003.6025%
Pogon Mogilno win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tluchowia Tluchowo1.92

Casa share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals3.53Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 68% · Sotto 32%

Pogon Mogilno1.61

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 69% · No 31%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Tluchowia Tluchowo

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Pogon Mogilno

0.50pts / match
Giocate2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punti1

SignalTrasferta failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.92
Expected goals
1.61
Tluchowia TluchowoPogon Mogilno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tluchowia Tluchowo signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Mogilno signalTrasferta failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tluchowia Tluchowo vs Pogon Mogilno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tluchowia Tluchowo vinta 43%,Pareggio 25%,Pogon Mogilno vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Sopra 2.5 68% · Current selection Sopra