MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
POL Polen - IV Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Tluchowia Tluchowo vs Pogon Mogilno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.53 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst32%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Tluchowia TluchowoPogon Mogilno
Expected goals3.53Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 25% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbele Kans1275.3%1.33
Boven 68% · Onder 32%Goals 2.5Boven68%1.47
Ja 69% · Nee 31%Beide teams scorenJa69%1.45
3.53 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tluchowia Tluchowo win43%2.332.1042.9%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%
Pogon Mogilno win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tluchowia Tluchowo1.92

Thuis share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals3.53Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 68% · Onder 32%

Pogon Mogilno1.61

Uit share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 69% · Nee 31%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Tluchowia Tluchowo

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Pogon Mogilno

0.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punten1

SignalUit failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.92
Expected goals
1.61
Tluchowia TluchowoPogon Mogilno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tluchowia Tluchowo signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Mogilno signalUit failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tluchowia Tluchowo vs Pogon Mogilno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tluchowia Tluchowo gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 25%,Pogon Mogilno gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Boven 2.5 68% · Current selection Boven