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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
POL Polen - IV Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Ursus Warschau vs MKS Piaseczno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.55 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst32%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score2–2Ursus WarschauMKS Piaseczno
Expected goals3.55Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven69% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 22% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Dubbele Kans1277.6%1.29
Boven 69% · Onder 31%Goals 2.5Boven69%1.45
Ja 69% · Nee 31%Beide teams scorenJa69%1.45
3.55 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ursus Warschau win45%2.222.0044.9%
Gelijkspel22%4.554.0022.4%
MKS Piaseczno win32%3.132.7532.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ursus Warschau1.94

Thuis share of expected goals 54.6%

Total expected goals3.55Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 69% · Onder 31%

MKS Piaseczno1.61

Uit share of expected goals 45.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 69% · Nee 31%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ursus Warschau

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

MKS Piaseczno

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
1.61
Ursus WarschauMKS Piaseczno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ursus Warschau signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MKS Piaseczno signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ursus Warschau vs MKS Piaseczno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ursus Warschau gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 22%,MKS Piaseczno gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · Boven 2.5 69% · Current selection Boven