Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 22% / 32%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Double chance1277.6%1.29
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Yes 69% · No 31%Both teams scoreYes69%1.45
3.55 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ursus Warsaw win45%2.222.0044.9%—
Draw22%4.554.0022.4%—
MKS Piaseczno win32%3.132.7532.7%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.6%
Total expected goals3.55Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%
Away share of expected goals 45.4%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 69% · No 31%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchUrsus Warsaw
WWWDW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchMKS Piaseczno
WWDLL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Win probability excluding draw
32%13
Points from supplied form
71.94
Expected goals
1.61Ursus WarsawMKS Piaseczno
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Ursus Warsaw vs MKS Piaseczno FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ursus Warsaw win 45%，Draw 22%，MKS Piaseczno win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.55 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over。