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POL Poland IV Liga · Trận đấu ·

Ursus Warsaw vs MKS Piaseczno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–23.55 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng45%
Hòa22%
Đội khách thắng32%
Market-based forecastChủ nhà thắngTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng45% selection probability
Projected score2–2Ursus WarsawMKS Piaseczno
Expected goals3.55Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài69% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
45% / 22% / 32%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Cơ hội kép1277.6%1.29
Tài 69% · Xỉu 31%Goals 2.5Tài69%1.45
Có 69% · Không 31%Cả hai đội ghi bàn69%1.45
3.55 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–2
10.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKhông có
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ursus Warsaw win45%2.222.0044.9%
Hòa22%4.554.0022.4%
MKS Piaseczno win32%3.132.7532.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ursus Warsaw1.94

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 54.6%

Total expected goals3.55Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 69% · Xỉu 31%

MKS Piaseczno1.61

Khách share of expected goals 45.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 69% · Không 31%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Ursus Warsaw

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

MKS Piaseczno

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Thắng probability excluding draw
32%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
1.61
Ursus WarsawMKS Piaseczno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ursus Warsaw signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MKS Piaseczno signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ursus Warsaw vs MKS Piaseczno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ursus Warsaw thắng 45%,Hòa 22%,MKS Piaseczno thắng 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · Tài 2.5 69% · Current selection Tài