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POL Poland IV Liga · Maç ·

Ursus Warsaw vs MKS Piaseczno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–23.55 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır45%
Beraberlik22%
Deplasman kazanır32%
Market-based forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır45% selection probability
Projected score2–2Ursus WarsawMKS Piaseczno
Expected goals3.55Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst69% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
45% / 22% / 32%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Çifte Şans1277.6%1.29
Üst 69% · Alt 31%Goals 2.5Üst69%1.45
Evet 69% · Hayır 31%Karşılıklı gol varEvet69%1.45
3.55 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–2
10.7 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimYok
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ursus Warsaw win45%2.222.0044.9%
Beraberlik22%4.554.0022.4%
MKS Piaseczno win32%3.132.7532.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ursus Warsaw1.94

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 54.6%

Total expected goals3.55Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 69% · Alt 31%

MKS Piaseczno1.61

Deplasman share of expected goals 45.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitEvet 69% · Hayır 31%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Ursus Warsaw

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

MKS Piaseczno

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
32%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
1.61
Ursus WarsawMKS Piaseczno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ursus Warsaw signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MKS Piaseczno signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ursus Warsaw vs MKS Piaseczno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ursus Warsaw kazanç 45%,Beraberlik 22%,MKS Piaseczno kazanç 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · 2.5 Üst 69% · Current selection Üst