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POL Polónia - IV Liga · Partida ·

Tłuchovia Tłuchowo vs Pogon Mogilno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–23.53 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa43%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante32%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Tłuchovia TłuchowoPogon Mogilno
Expected goals3.53Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima68% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
43% / 25% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dupla Chance1275.3%1.33
Acima 68% · Abaixo 32%Goals 2.5Acima68%1.47
Sim 69% · Não 31%Ambas as equipes marcamSim69%1.45
3.53 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–2
10.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tłuchovia Tłuchowo win43%2.332.1042.9%
Empate25%4.003.6025%
Pogon Mogilno win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tłuchovia Tłuchowo1.92

Mandante share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals3.53Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 68% · Abaixo 32%

Pogon Mogilno1.61

Visitante share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitSim 69% · Não 31%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Tłuchovia Tłuchowo

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Pogon Mogilno

0.50pts / match
Jogos2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Pontos1

SignalVisitante failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.92
Expected goals
1.61
Tłuchovia TłuchowoPogon Mogilno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tłuchovia Tłuchowo signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Mogilno signalVisitante failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tłuchovia Tłuchowo vs Pogon Mogilno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tłuchovia Tłuchowo ganhou 43%,Empate 25%,Pogon Mogilno ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Acima 2.5 68% · Current selection Acima