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POL Polonia - Liga IV · Partita ·

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdanski

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score0–22.36 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa28%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite48%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite48% selection probability
Projected score0–2Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdanski
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
28% / 24% / 48%Esito partitaVittoria ospite48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Doppia Chance1276%1.32
Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%Goals 2.5Sotto58%1.72
Sì 25% · No 75%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo75%1.33
2.36 total expected goalsRisultato esatto0–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapStolem Gniewino winDifference-3.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stolem Gniewino win28%3.572.8831.2%-3.2 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
KP Starogard Gdanski win48%2.082.0044.9%+3.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stolem Gniewino0.34

Casa share of expected goals 14.4%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%

KP Starogard Gdanski2.02

Trasferta share of expected goals 85.6%

Projected score0–2BTTS split 25% · No 75%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Stolem Gniewino

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

KP Starogard Gdanski

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vinta probability excluding draw
48%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.34
Expected goals
2.02
Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdanski
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stolem Gniewino signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KP Starogard Gdanski signalCasa clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdanski FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 0–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stolem Gniewino vinta 28%,Pareggio 24%,KP Starogard Gdanski vinta 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Sopra 2.5 42% · Current selection Sotto