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POL Pologne - IV Liga · Match ·

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdansk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score0–22.35 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile28%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur48%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur48% selection probability
Projected score0–2Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdansk
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
28% / 24% / 48%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Double chance1276%1.32
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 25% · Non 75%Les deux équipes marquentNon75%1.33
2.35 total expected goalsScore exact0–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapStolem Gniewino winDifference-3.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stolem Gniewino win28%3.572.8831.2%-3.2 pp
Nul24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
KP Starogard Gdansk win48%2.082.0044.9%+3.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stolem Gniewino0.34

Domicile share of expected goals 14.5%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

KP Starogard Gdansk2.01

Extérieur share of expected goals 85.5%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitOui 25% · Non 75%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Stolem Gniewino

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

KP Starogard Gdansk

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gagné probability excluding draw
48%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.34
Expected goals
2.01
Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdansk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stolem Gniewino signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KP Starogard Gdansk signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdansk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 0–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stolem Gniewino victoire 28%,Nul 24%,KP Starogard Gdansk victoire 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de