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POL Полша - Лига 4 · Мач ·

Столем Гниевино vs Старогард Гдански

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score0–22.36 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина28%
Равен24%
Победа за госта48%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта48% selection probability
Projected score0–2Столем ГниевиноСтарогард Гдански
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под58% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
28% / 24% / 48%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Двоен шанс1276%1.32
Над 42% · Под 58%Goals 2.5Под58%1.72
Да 25% · Не 75%И двата отбора да отбележатНе75%1.33
2.36 total expected goalsТочен резултат0–2
10.7 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapСтолем Гниевино winDifference-3.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Столем Гниевино win28%3.572.8831.2%-3.2 pp
Равен24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Старогард Гдански win48%2.082.0044.9%+3.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Столем Гниевино0.34

Домакин share of expected goals 14.4%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 42% · Под 58%

Старогард Гдански2.02

Гост share of expected goals 85.6%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitДа 25% · Не 75%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Столем Гниевино

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Старогард Гдански

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
48%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.34
Expected goals
2.02
Столем ГниевиноСтарогард Гдански
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Столем Гниевино signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Старогард Гдански signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Столем Гниевино vs Старогард Гдански FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 0–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Столем Гниевино печеливш 28%,Равен 24%,Старогард Гдански печеливш 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Над 2.5 42% · Current selection Под