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POL Polonia - Liga IV · Meci ·

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdanski

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score0–22.35 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde28%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți48%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți48% selection probability
Projected score0–2Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdanski
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub58% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
28% / 24% / 48%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Șansă dublă1276%1.32
Peste 42% · Sub 58%Goals 2.5Sub58%1.72
Da 25% · Nu 75%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu75%1.33
2.35 total expected goalsScor corect0–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapStolem Gniewino winDifference-3.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stolem Gniewino win28%3.572.8831.2%-3.2 pp
Egal24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
KP Starogard Gdanski win48%2.082.0044.9%+3.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stolem Gniewino0.34

Gazde share of expected goals 14.5%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 42% · Sub 58%

KP Starogard Gdanski2.01

Oaspeți share of expected goals 85.5%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitDa 25% · Nu 75%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Stolem Gniewino

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

KP Starogard Gdanski

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Câștig probability excluding draw
48%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.34
Expected goals
2.01
Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdanski
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stolem Gniewino signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KP Starogard Gdanski signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdanski FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 0–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stolem Gniewino câștig 28%,Egal 24%,KP Starogard Gdanski câștig 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Peste 2.5 42% · Current selection Sub