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POL Polónia - IV Liga · Partida ·

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdanski

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score0–22.35 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa28%
Empate24%
Vitória visitante48%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante48% selection probability
Projected score0–2Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdanski
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
28% / 24% / 48%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Dupla Chance1276%1.32
Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%Goals 2.5Abaixo58%1.72
Sim 25% · Não 75%Ambas as equipes marcamNão75%1.33
2.35 total expected goalsPlacar exato0–2
10.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapStolem Gniewino winDifference-3.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stolem Gniewino win28%3.572.8831.2%-3.2 pp
Empate24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
KP Starogard Gdanski win48%2.082.0044.9%+3.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stolem Gniewino0.34

Mandante share of expected goals 14.5%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%

KP Starogard Gdanski2.01

Visitante share of expected goals 85.5%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitSim 25% · Não 75%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Stolem Gniewino

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

KP Starogard Gdanski

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
48%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.34
Expected goals
2.01
Stolem GniewinoKP Starogard Gdanski
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stolem Gniewino signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KP Starogard Gdanski signalMandante clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Stolem Gniewino vs KP Starogard Gdanski FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 0–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stolem Gniewino ganhou 28%,Empate 24%,KP Starogard Gdanski ganhou 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Acima 2.5 42% · Current selection Abaixo