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POL Польша - Лига IV · Матч ·

Столем Гневино vs ФК Старогард-Гданьский

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score0–22.36 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев28%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей48%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей48% selection probability
Projected score0–2Столем ГневиноФК Старогард-Гданьский
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
28% / 24% / 48%Исход матчаПобеда гостей48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Двойной шанс1276%1.32
Больше 42% · Меньше 58%Goals 2.5Меньше58%1.72
Да 25% · Нет 75%Обе забьютНет75%1.33
2.36 total expected goalsТочный счёт0–2
10.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapСтолем Гневино winDifference-3.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Столем Гневино win28%3.572.8831.2%-3.2 pp
Ничья24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
ФК Старогард-Гданьский win48%2.082.0044.9%+3.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Столем Гневино0.34

Хозяева share of expected goals 14.4%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 42% · Меньше 58%

ФК Старогард-Гданьский2.02

Гости share of expected goals 85.6%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitДа 25% · Нет 75%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Столем Гневино

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Старогард-Гданьский

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
48%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.34
Expected goals
2.02
Столем ГневиноФК Старогард-Гданьский
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Столем Гневино signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Старогард-Гданьский signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Столем Гневино vs ФК Старогард-Гданьский FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 0–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Столем Гневино выигрыш 28%,Ничья 24%,ФК Старогард-Гданьский выигрыш 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · ТБ 2.5 42% · Current selection Меньше