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WAL Уелс - Чемпиъншип Юг · Мач ·

Баглан Драгонс vs Каерау Ели

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина21%
Равен22%
Победа за госта56%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Баглан ДрагонсКаерау Ели
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
21% / 22% / 56%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Баглан Драгонс win (21.4%)Двоен шансX278.6%1.27
Над 56% · Под 44%Goals 2.5Над56%1.79
Да 42% · Не 58%И двата отбора да отбележатНе58%1.72
2.92 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapБаглан Драгонс winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Баглан Драгонс win21%4.763.9023%-2.0 pp
Равен22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Каерау Ели win56%1.791.6554.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Баглан Драгонс0.63

Домакин share of expected goals 21.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 56% · Под 44%

Каерау Ели2.29

Гост share of expected goals 78.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 42% · Не 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Баглан Драгонс

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Каерау Ели

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
56%
5
Points from supplied form
5
0.63
Expected goals
2.29
Баглан ДрагонсКаерау Ели
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Баглан Драгонс signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Каерау Ели signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Баглан Драгонс vs Каерау Ели FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Баглан Драгонс печеливш 21%,Равен 22%,Каерау Ели печеливш 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Над 2.5 56% · Current selection Над