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WAL 威爾士南部錦標賽 · 比賽 ·

巴格蘭龍 vs 卡爾路伊利

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝21%
22%
客勝56%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝56% selection probability
Projected score1–2巴格蘭龍卡爾路伊利
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.556% for the selected side
雙方進球58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
21% / 22% / 56%比賽結果客勝56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 巴格蘭龍 win (21.4%)雙重機會X278.6%1.27
大 56% · 小 44%Goals 2.556%1.79
是 42% · 否 58%雙方進球58%1.72
2.92 total expected goals正確比分1–2
10.3 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gap巴格蘭龍 winDifference-2.0 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
巴格蘭龍 win21%4.763.9023%-2.0 pp
22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
卡爾路伊利 win56%1.791.6554.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

巴格蘭龍0.63

主隊 share of expected goals 21.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 56% · 44%

卡爾路伊利2.29

客隊 share of expected goals 78.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 42% · 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

巴格蘭龍

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

卡爾路伊利

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
贏 probability excluding draw
56%
5
Points from supplied form
5
0.63
Expected goals
2.29
巴格蘭龍卡爾路伊利
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01巴格蘭龍 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02卡爾路伊利 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

巴格蘭龍 vs 卡爾路伊利 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

巴格蘭龍 21%, 22%,卡爾路伊利 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · 大2.5 56% · Current selection