MatchFormula Maç bul
Menu
UTC+8
Saat dilimiAsia/Shanghai
Türkçe
WAL Wales Championship South · Maç ·

Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır21%
Beraberlik22%
Deplasman kazanır56%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Baglan DragonsCaerau Ely
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst56% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
21% / 22% / 56%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Baglan Dragons win (21.4%)Çifte ŞansX278.6%1.27
Üst 56% · Alt 44%Goals 2.5Üst56%1.79
Evet 42% · Hayır 58%Karşılıklı gol varHayır58%1.72
2.92 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.3 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapBaglan Dragons winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baglan Dragons win21%4.763.9023%-2.0 pp
Beraberlik22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Caerau Ely win56%1.791.6554.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baglan Dragons0.63

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 21.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 56% · Alt 44%

Caerau Ely2.29

Deplasman share of expected goals 78.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 42% · Hayır 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Baglan Dragons

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Caerau Ely

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
56%
5
Points from supplied form
5
0.63
Expected goals
2.29
Baglan DragonsCaerau Ely
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baglan Dragons signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Caerau Ely signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baglan Dragons kazanç 21%,Beraberlik 22%,Caerau Ely kazanç 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · 2.5 Üst 56% · Current selection Üst