MatchFormula Buscar un partido
Menu
UTC+8
Zona horariaAsia/Shanghai
Español
WAL Campeonato de Gales - Sur · Partido ·

Baglan Dragons F.C. vs Caerau Ely

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local21%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante56%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Baglan Dragons F.C.Caerau Ely
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
21% / 22% / 56%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Baglan Dragons F.C. win (21.4%)Doble OportunidadX278.6%1.27
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 42% · No 58%Ambos equipos marcanNo58%1.72
2.92 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
10.3 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapBaglan Dragons F.C. winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baglan Dragons F.C. win21%4.763.9023%-2.0 pp
Empate22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Caerau Ely win56%1.791.6554.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baglan Dragons F.C.0.63

Local share of expected goals 21.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

Caerau Ely2.29

Visitante share of expected goals 78.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Baglan Dragons F.C.

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Caerau Ely

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Ganado probability excluding draw
56%
5
Points from supplied form
5
0.63
Expected goals
2.29
Baglan Dragons F.C.Caerau Ely
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baglan Dragons F.C. signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Caerau Ely signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Baglan Dragons F.C. vs Caerau Ely FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baglan Dragons F.C. ganada 21%,Empate 22%,Caerau Ely ganada 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de