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WAL Campeonato de Gales - Sur · Partido ·

Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local52%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local52% selection probability
Projected score1–1Newport CityYnyshir Albions
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
52% / 24% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Doble Oportunidad1276.1%1.31
Más de 45% · Menos de 55%Goals 2.5Menos de55%1.82
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.46 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newport City win52%1.921.7352%0.0 pp
Empate24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp
Ynyshir Albions win24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newport City1.48

Local share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 45% · Menos de 55%

Ynyshir Albions0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Newport City

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ynyshir Albions

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.48
Expected goals
0.98
Newport CityYnyshir Albions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newport City signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ynyshir Albions signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newport City ganada 52%,Empate 24%,Ynyshir Albions ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Más de 2.5 45% · Current selection Menos de