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WAL Уелс - Чемпиъншип Юг · Мач ·

Третомас Блубърдс vs Афан Лидо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.33 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина38%
Равен24%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Третомас БлубърдсАфан Лидо
Expected goals3.33Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над65% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
38% / 24% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Двоен шанс1275.8%1.32
Над 65% · Под 35%Goals 2.5Над65%1.54
Да 66% · Не 34%И двата отбора да отбележатДа66%1.52
3.33 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapАфан Лидо winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Третомас Блубърдс win38%2.632.3538.3%-0.3 pp
Равен24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Афан Лидо win37%2.702.4037.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Третомас Блубърдс1.74

Домакин share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals3.33Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 65% · Под 35%

Афан Лидо1.59

Гост share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 66% · Не 34%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Третомас Блубърдс

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Афан Лидо

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalГост clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.74
Expected goals
1.59
Третомас БлубърдсАфан Лидо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Третомас Блубърдс signalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Афан Лидо signalГост clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Третомас Блубърдс vs Афан Лидо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Третомас Блубърдс печеливш 38%,Равен 24%,Афан Лидо печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Над 2.5 65% · Current selection Над