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WAL Wales - Championship South · Wedstrijd ·

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.33 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Trethomas BluebirdsAfan Lido
Expected goals3.33Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 24% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Dubbele Kans1275.8%1.32
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.33 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapAfan Lido winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trethomas Bluebirds win38%2.632.3538.3%-0.3 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Afan Lido win37%2.702.4037.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Trethomas Bluebirds1.74

Thuis share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals3.33Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

Afan Lido1.59

Uit share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Trethomas Bluebirds

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Afan Lido

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.74
Expected goals
1.59
Trethomas BluebirdsAfan Lido
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Trethomas Bluebirds signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Afan Lido signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Trethomas Bluebirds gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 24%,Afan Lido gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven