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WAL Wales - Championship South · Wedstrijd ·

Aberystwyth vs Pontardawe Town

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.12 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst56%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst23%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst56% selection probability
Projected score2–1AberystwythPontardawe Town
Expected goals3.12Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
56% / 22% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.7%)Dubbele Kans1278.3%1.28
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.12 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aberystwyth win56%1.791.5757.2%
Gelijkspel22%4.554.2021.4%
Pontardawe Town win23%4.354.2021.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aberystwyth1.87

Thuis share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals3.12Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

Pontardawe Town1.25

Uit share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Aberystwyth

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Pontardawe Town

0.75pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins1Drawn0Losses3Punten3

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.87
Expected goals
1.25
AberystwythPontardawe Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aberystwyth signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pontardawe Town signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Aberystwyth vs Pontardawe Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aberystwyth gewonnen 56%,Gelijkspel 22%,Pontardawe Town gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven