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WAL Wales Championship South · Kamp ·

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.33 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier38%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier37%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Trethomas BluebirdsAfan Lido
Expected goals3.33Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
38% / 24% / 37%KampresultatHjemmeseier38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Dobbel sjanse1275.8%1.32
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Ja 66% · Nei 34%Begge lag scorerJa66%1.52
3.33 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapAfan Lido winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trethomas Bluebirds win38%2.632.3538.3%-0.3 pp
Uavgjort24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Afan Lido win37%2.702.4037.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Trethomas Bluebirds1.74

Hjemme share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals3.33Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Afan Lido1.59

Borte share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nei 34%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Trethomas Bluebirds

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poeng3

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Afan Lido

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalBorte clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.74
Expected goals
1.59
Trethomas BluebirdsAfan Lido
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Trethomas Bluebirds signalBorte matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Afan Lido signalBorte clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Trethomas Bluebirds vunnet 38%,Uavgjort 24%,Afan Lido vunnet 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over