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WAL Wales Championship South · Kamp ·

Pure Swansea vs Pontypridd Utd

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier45%
Uavgjort23%
Borteseier33%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Pure SwanseaPontypridd Utd
Expected goals3.10Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
45% / 23% / 33%KampresultatHjemmeseier45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dobbel sjanse1277.4%1.29
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Ja 61% · Nei 39%Begge lag scorerJa61%1.64
3.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pure Swansea win45%2.222.0044.9%
Uavgjort23%4.354.0022.4%
Pontypridd Utd win33%3.032.7532.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pure Swansea1.67

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals3.10Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Pontypridd Utd1.43

Borte share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nei 39%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Pure Swansea

3.00pts / match
Spilt4Wins4Drawn0Losses0Poeng12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/4

Borte-context · form sequence

Pontypridd Utd

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.67
Expected goals
1.43
Pure SwanseaPontypridd Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pure Swansea signalHjemme unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pontypridd Utd signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Pure Swansea vs Pontypridd Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pure Swansea vunnet 45%,Uavgjort 23%,Pontypridd Utd vunnet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over