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WAL Wales Championship South · Fixture ·

Pure Swansea vs Pontypridd Utd

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw23%
Away win33%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Pure SwanseaPontypridd Utd
Expected goals3.10Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 23% / 33%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Double chance1277.4%1.29
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.10 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pure Swansea win45%2.222.0044.9%
Draw23%4.354.0022.4%
Pontypridd Utd win33%3.032.7532.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pure Swansea1.67

Home share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals3.10Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Pontypridd Utd1.43

Away share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Pure Swansea

3.00pts / match
Played4Wins4Drawn0Losses0Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/4

Away-context · form sequence

Pontypridd Utd

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.67
Expected goals
1.43
Pure SwanseaPontypridd Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pure Swansea signalHome unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pontypridd Utd signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Pure Swansea vs Pontypridd Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pure Swansea win 45%,Draw 23%,Pontypridd Utd win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over