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WAL País de Gales - Championship South · Partida ·

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–23.33 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa38%
Empate24%
Vitória visitante37%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Trethomas BluebirdsAfan Lido
Expected goals3.33Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima65% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
38% / 24% / 37%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Dupla Chance1275.8%1.32
Acima 65% · Abaixo 35%Goals 2.5Acima65%1.54
Sim 66% · Não 34%Ambas as equipes marcamSim66%1.52
3.33 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–2
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapAfan Lido winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trethomas Bluebirds win38%2.632.3538.3%-0.3 pp
Empate24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Afan Lido win37%2.702.4037.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Trethomas Bluebirds1.74

Mandante share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals3.33Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 65% · Abaixo 35%

Afan Lido1.59

Visitante share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitSim 66% · Não 34%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Trethomas Bluebirds

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontos3

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Afan Lido

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalVisitante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.74
Expected goals
1.59
Trethomas BluebirdsAfan Lido
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Trethomas Bluebirds signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Afan Lido signalVisitante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Trethomas Bluebirds ganhou 38%,Empate 24%,Afan Lido ganhou 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Acima 2.5 65% · Current selection Acima