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WAL Уелс - Чемпиъншип Юг · Мач ·

Треоуен Старс vs Кардиф Драконианс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–24.39 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина41%
Равен23%
Победа за госта36%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Треоуен СтарсКардиф Драконианс
Expected goals4.39Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над81% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
41% / 23% / 36%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Двоен шанс1277.2%1.30
Над 81% · Под 19%Goals 2.5Над81%1.23
Да 79% · Не 21%И двата отбора да отбележатДа79%1.27
4.39 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapТреоуен Старс winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Треоуен Старс win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Равен23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Кардиф Драконианс win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Треоуен Старс2.29

Домакин share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals4.39Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 81% · Под 19%

Кардиф Драконианс2.10

Гост share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 79% · Не 21%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Треоуен Старс

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Кардиф Драконианс

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.29
Expected goals
2.10
Треоуен СтарсКардиф Драконианс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Треоуен Старс signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Кардиф Драконианс signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Треоуен Старс vs Кардиф Драконианс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Треоуен Старс печеливш 41%,Равен 23%,Кардиф Драконианс печеливш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.39 · Над 2.5 81% · Current selection Над