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WAL Walia - Championship South · Mecz ·

Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–24.39 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy41%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości36%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Treowen StarsCardiff Draconians
Expected goals4.39Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej81% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
41% / 23% / 36%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Podwójna szansa1277.2%1.30
Powyżej 81% · Poniżej 19%Goals 2.5Powyżej81%1.23
Tak 79% · Nie 21%Obie drużyny strzeląTak79%1.27
4.39 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
9.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapTreowen Stars winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Treowen Stars win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Remis23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Cardiff Draconians win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Treowen Stars2.29

Gospodarze share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals4.39Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 81% · Poniżej 19%

Cardiff Draconians2.10

Goście share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 79% · Nie 21%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Treowen Stars

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Cardiff Draconians

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.29
Expected goals
2.10
Treowen StarsCardiff Draconians
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Treowen Stars signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cardiff Draconians signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Treowen Stars wygrana 41%,Remis 23%,Cardiff Draconians wygrana 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.39 · Powyżej 2.5 81% · Current selection Powyżej