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WAL ウェールズ チャンピオンシップ南部 · 試合 ·

トレオウェン・スターズ vs カーディフ・ドラコニアンズ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–24.39 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け23%
アウェイ勝利36%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score2–2トレオウェン・スターズカーディフ・ドラコニアンズ
Expected goals4.39始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー81% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 23% / 36%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)ダブルチャンス1277.2%1.30
オーバー 81% · アンダー 19%Goals 2.5オーバー81%1.23
はい 79% · いいえ 21%両チーム得点はい79%1.27
4.39 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapトレオウェン・スターズ winDifference+0.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
トレオウェン・スターズ win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
引き分け23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
カーディフ・ドラコニアンズ win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

トレオウェン・スターズ2.29

ホーム share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals4.39始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 81% · アンダー 19%

カーディフ・ドラコニアンズ2.10

アウェイ share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 79% · いいえ 21%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

トレオウェン・スターズ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

カーディフ・ドラコニアンズ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.29
Expected goals
2.10
トレオウェン・スターズカーディフ・ドラコニアンズ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01トレオウェン・スターズ signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02カーディフ・ドラコニアンズ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

トレオウェン・スターズ vs カーディフ・ドラコニアンズ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

トレオウェン・スターズ 勝ち 41%,引き分け 23%,カーディフ・ドラコニアンズ 勝ち 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.39 · オーバー 2.5 81% · Current selection オーバー