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URY 烏拉圭乙組聯賽 · 比賽 ·

芬斯 vs La Luz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝47%
29%
客勝25%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝47% selection probability
Projected score1–1芬斯La Luz
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.561% for the selected side
雙方進球56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
47% / 29% / 25%比賽結果主勝47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Luz win (24.5%)雙重機會1X75.5%1.32
大 39% · 小 61%Goals 2.561%1.64
是 44% · 否 56%雙方進球56%1.79
2.24 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gap芬斯 winDifference+0.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
芬斯 win47%2.131.9146.6%+0.4 pp
29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
La Luz win25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

芬斯1.39

主隊 share of expected goals 62.1%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 39% · 61%

La Luz0.85

客隊 share of expected goals 37.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

芬斯

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

La Luz

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
贏 probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.39
Expected goals
0.85
芬斯La Luz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01芬斯 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Luz signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

芬斯 vs La Luz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

芬斯 47%, 29%,La Luz 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · 大2.5 39% · Current selection