Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
47% / 29% / 25%Resultado del partidoVictoria local47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Luz win (24.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X75.5%1.32
Más de 39% · Menos de 61%Goals 2.5Menos de61%1.64
Sí 44% · No 56%Ambos equipos marcanNo56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapAtletico Fenix Montevideo winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win47%2.131.9146.6%+0.4 pp
Empate29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
La Luz win25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 62.1%
Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Más de 39% · Menos de 61%
Visitante share of expected goals 37.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSí 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAtletico Fenix Montevideo
DWLWL
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7
SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchLa Luz
LWWLD
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7
SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Ganado probability excluding draw
25%7
Points from supplied form
71.39
Expected goals
0.85Atletico Fenix MontevideoLa Luz
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Atletico Fenix Montevideo ganada 47%，Empate 29%，La Luz ganada 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.24 · Más de 2.5 39% · Current selection Menos de。