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URY Uruguay Segunda · Мач ·

Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Ла Луз

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина47%
Равен29%
Победа за госта25%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico Fenix MontevideoЛа Луз
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
47% / 29% / 25%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ла Луз win (24.5%)Двоен шанс1X75.5%1.32
Над 39% · Под 61%Goals 2.5Под61%1.64
Да 44% · Не 56%И двата отбора да отбележатНе56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapAtletico Fenix Montevideo winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win47%2.131.9146.6%+0.4 pp
Равен29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Ла Луз win25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.39

Домакин share of expected goals 62.1%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 39% · Под 61%

Ла Луз0.85

Гост share of expected goals 37.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Не 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ла Луз

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.39
Expected goals
0.85
Atletico Fenix MontevideoЛа Луз
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Fenix Montevideo signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ла Луз signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Ла Луз FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Fenix Montevideo печеливш 47%,Равен 29%,Ла Луз печеливш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Над 2.5 39% · Current selection Под