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BGR 保加利亞甲級聯賽 · Final ·

華納斯巴達 vs 塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score0–1預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝46%
28%
客勝26%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction 未命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝46% selection probability
Projected score2–1華納斯巴達塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.551% for the selected side
雙方進球53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
46% / 28% / 26%比賽結果主勝46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 win (25.7%)雙重機會1X74.3%1.35
大 51% · 小 49%Goals 2.551%1.96
是 53% · 否 47%雙方進球53%1.89
2.73 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.8 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
華納斯巴達 win46%2.172.0545.5%+0.5 pp
28%3.573.2528.7%-0.7 pp
塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 win26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

華納斯巴達1.68

主隊 share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 51% · 49%

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞1.05

客隊 share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

華納斯巴達

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
贏 probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
1.05
華納斯巴達塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01華納斯巴達 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

華納斯巴達 vs 塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

華納斯巴達 46%, 28%,塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · 大2.5 51% · Current selection