MatchFormula Mérkőzés keresése
Menu
UTC+8
IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
Magyar
BGR Bulgária - 1. liga · Final ·

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score0–1Előrejelzés 2–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem46%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem26%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Vesztett
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Spartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett51% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
46% / 28% / 26%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Septemvri Sofia win (25.7%)Dupla esély1X74.3%1.35
Felett 51% · Alatt 49%Goals 2.5Felett51%1.96
Igen 53% · Nem 47%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen53%1.89
2.73 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.8 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Spartak Varna win46%2.172.0545.5%+0.5 pp
Döntetlen28%3.573.2528.7%-0.7 pp
Septemvri Sofia win26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Spartak Varna1.68

Hazai share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 51% · Alatt 49%

Septemvri Sofia1.05

Vendég share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 53% · Nem 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Spartak Varna

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Septemvri Sofia

0.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontok2

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Nyert probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
1.05
Spartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Spartak Varna signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Septemvri Sofia signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Spartak Varna nyer 46%,Döntetlen 28%,Septemvri Sofia nyer 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · 2.5 felett 51% · Current selection Felett