Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 28% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Septemvri Sofia win (25.7%)Dubbelchans1X74.3%1.35
Över 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Över51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.73 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1——
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Spartak Varna win46%2.172.0545.5%+0.5 pp
Oavgjort28%3.573.2528.7%-0.7 pp
Septemvri Sofia win26%3.853.6025.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Hemma share of expected goals 61.5%
Total expected goals2.73Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Över 51% · Under 49%
Borta share of expected goals 38.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Hemma-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSpartak Varna
LWWDW
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10
SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5
Borta-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchSeptemvri Sofia
LLLDD
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2
SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%10
Points from supplied form
21.68
Expected goals
1.05Spartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Spartak Varna vunnen 46%，Oavgjort 28%，Septemvri Sofia vunnen 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.73 · Över 2.5 51% · Current selection Över。